Fenway Diamond State
Interactive
Click base diamonds to toggle runner occupation
Live Expectancy & Impact Analysis
Pre-Play Win Prob
50.0%
Baseline tied state
Post-Play Win Prob
68.4%
+18.4% WPA Shift
RE24 Run Value
+1.85 runs
Expectancy delta
Leverage Index
1.42 LI
Medium-High Impact
Leverage Scale
Medium-High
Win Expectancy Progression Chart
Monasterio 2-RBI Play Context
In the 2nd inning with runners on 2nd and 3rd and 1 out, Boston had a 1.43 run expectation. Monasterio's 2-RBI single drove in both runners, boosting Boston's Win Probability from 50.0% to 68.4% (+18.4% WPA) and establishing an early multi-run lead.
Historical Red Sox Early Multi-Run Lead Conversion Database
| Date / Opponent | Early Lead Play | Inning | Score Margin | Pre WPA | Post WPA | WPA Shift | Final Game Outcome |
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