Inning-by-Inning Scoring & Win Expectancy Scrubber
Scrub across innings to observe leverage swings and cumulative run differential.
Inning: Inning 6
Key Event: 5-run 6th inning rally
Series Run Diff
+11
18 Reds vs 7 A's
Avg Differential
+3.67
Runs / Game
Calculated Sweep Odds
12.5%
Baseline 50% Win Rate
Wild Card Impact
+1.5
Games in WC Race
Key Series Leverage Swings Max WP Δ
Game 1 (Inning 6)
+34.0% WP
5-run rally off bullpen
Game 2 (Inning 8)
+28.0% WP
Bullpen 88% strike efficiency
Game 3 (Inning 7)
+41.0% WP
Quality start complete game hold
Source Context: MLB Grounded Highlight
Reds 3 - 0 A's Sweep
Counterfactual Scenario Engine
Adjust parameters to recalculate series sweep probabilities & projected standings trajectory.
Range: 2.0 - 10.0
Range: 1.0 - 8.0
0.5x (Poor) - 2.0x (Elite)
0% to +15%
Simulated Series Outcomes
Simulated Sweep Prob
28.4%
Projected Run Diff
+11.0
Expected Standings Δ
+1.8 GB
Historical Reds vs A's Head-to-Head
36 Total All-Time Matchups Baseline Comparison
Cincinnati Reds (20 Wins)
Athletics (16 Wins)
55.6% Win Rate
44.4% Win Rate
Sweeps by Reds
3 Sweeps
Including latest 2026 series
Sweeps by A's
2 Sweeps
Historical Head-to-Head
Historical Context & Era Note:
With this 3-game sweep (+11 run differential), Cincinnati improves their head-to-head record against Oakland/Las Vegas to 20 victories in 36 modern interleague matchups.
Source Grounded Dataset • MLB Official Record Baseline
Series Game-by-Game Scorecard & Key Performance Drivers
Detailed breakdown of games 1 through 3 with leverage indices and pitch efficiency.