2028 Republican Primary Delegate & Coalition Planner

Coalition Matrix Real-time Reallocation

Presets

Vice President JD Vance

38%

Strong Midwest appeal & convention keynote lift

Sec. Marco Rubio

28%

Diplomatic stature, Sunbelt & Hispanic outreach

Sen. Ted Cruz

20%

Constitutional base & Texas delegation anchor

Uncommitted / Regional

14%

Faithless electors, state favorite sons & caucus holdouts

Rule Mechanics: Proportional early contests (pre-March 15) apply a 15% threshold; later primary states award Winner-Take-All delegates to the plurality leader.

National Delegate Race (Total: 2,428) 1,215 to clinch nomination

1,215 Majority Target

JD Vance

923

38.0% of total

Marco Rubio

680

28.0% of total

Ted Cruz

486

20.0% of total

Uncommitted

339

14.0% of total

State / Delegation	Delegates	Allocation Rule	Projected Winner	Vance	Rubio	Cruz