Theatrical Probability Distribution
Bullish Independent Tracking
Projected Midpoint
$51.25M
Bullish Tracking
Projected 90% Range
$45.2M - $58.8M
Independent High: $60M
Franchise Best Benchmark
$45.0M
Record Broken
Source: Variety Report • "Box Office: 'Resident Evil' Reboot Targets Franchise-Best $45 Million Debut" • Analysis snapshot Sept 2026.
Workbench Controls
Direct Manipulation
Studio Target Low
$40.0M
Studio Target High
$50.0M
Rival Tracking Low
$50.0M
Rival Tracking High
$60.0M
Premium Format (PLF / IMAX) Share
28.5%
Domestic Theater Count
3,850
Franchise Record Benchmark
$45.0M