Russian Oil Quota Discrepancy Simulator
JULY 1M BPD PLUNGE
OPEC+ quota compliance analysis, market deficit projection, and revenue impact workbench
Presets:
July Plunge (-1.0M)
Full Quota Compliance
Deepened Deficit (-1.8M)
Interactive Physical Supply Flow (D3.js)
Flow: 8.00M bpd
OPEC+ Quota
9.00 M bpd
Target Ceiling
Actual Production
8.00 M bpd
Realized Output
Quota Discrepancy
-1.00 M bpd
-11.1% Compliance Gap
Monthly Revenue Loss
$2.25 B
at $75.00/bbl benchmark
Market & Production Parameters
Russian Production Deficit Below Quota:
1,000,000 bpd
0 bpd (Full Quota)
1M bpd (July Level)
2M bpd (Severe Cut)
Base Brent Crude Price:
$75.00 / bbl
$40/bbl
$75/bbl Baseline
$120/bbl
Short-Term Price Sensitivity (Elasticity):
0.15
0.05 (Inelastic / High Uplift)
0.15 Baseline
0.40 (Elastic)
OPEC+ Compensation Offset:
0 bpd
0 bpd (No Compensating Volume)
1.0M bpd (Full Cushion)
Price Trajectory & Global Deficit Projection (Plotly.js)
Compliance & Impact Evidence Matrix
Metric Identifier
Baseline
Simulated
Delta
Export Evidence JSON
Export CSV Table
Reset Simulation
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