Official Source: @br_betting Winner: Ryan Garcia (TKO Rd 2) Moneyline: -300

Ryan Garcia Fight Probability & Round Outcome Explorer

Data snapshot: "RYAN GARCIA (-300 ML) WINS BY TKO IN THE SECOND ROUND 🔥 (via @paramountboxing)"Source Status Link
Odds Configuration -300 ML
-800 (Heavy Fav) +800 (Underdog)
$
Implied Math Grounding: At -300, a bettor risks $300 to profit $100. The implied win probability is exactly 300 / (300 + 100) = 75.00%.
Stoppage Probability by Round Target: Round 2 (Actual Finish)
Round 2 Stoppage Insight: Ryan Garcia's signature lightning left hook created the fight-ending stoppage in Round 2. In this analytical model, Round 2 had the apex finish probability of 32.00%.
Calculated Results LIVE
Implied Win Probability
75.00%
Formula: 300 / (300 + 100)
Potential Profit
$33.33
Net earnings
Total Payout
$133.33
Stake + profit
Most Likely Finish Round
Round 2
Apex model probability
Selected Round Probability
32.00%
Round 2 prop odds ~ +212
Source Evidence: @br_betting canonical post (Sept 13, 2026).
Fighter: Ryan Garcia | Result: TKO Round 2.
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