Source: @ClutchPoints Match Dispatch

Aryna Sabalenka Advantage & Set-Closing Analysis

Set 1 Final: 6-4 Game 10 Closed on Ad-In

Interactive Hardcourt Shot Trajectory

Game 10 • Point 6 (Ad-In)

Leverage & Win Probability

High Pressure Point
Win Probability
88.4%
+14.2% on Ad-In
Serve Speed
121 MPH
Flat / Precision T
Forehand Depth
1.1 M
From Baseline

Ad-In Set Point Conversion: Sabalenka selects a scorching 121 mph flat serve down the 'T' to open up the deuce court, instantly unloading an inside-out plus-one forehand with 82 mph terminal velocity.

Aryna Sabalenka converted 4 of 5 advantage points across the set, maintaining an average first-serve speed of 117 mph under pressure compared to the tour average of 105 mph.
Net Clearance: 46 cm
RPM Topspin: 2,640 rpm
Court Leverage Index: 4.82 (High)
Rally Outcome: Forced Error Winner

Baseline Power Profile vs. Tour Average

1st Serve Velocity 117 mph vs 105 mph (+11.4%)
Forehand Rally Speed 79.4 mph vs 69.1 mph (+14.9%)
Ad Point Aggression Index 91% Attack vs 64% Tour

Set 1 Cumulative Leverage & Momentum Trajectory

Blue Line: Sabalenka Win Probability | Green Band: Serving Leverage
G1 (1-0 hold) G2 (1-1) G3 (2-1 hold) G4 (2-2) G5 (3-2 hold) G6 (3-3) G7 (4-3 break) G8 (4-4 break back) G9 (5-4 break) G10 (6-4 hold on Ad-In ★)