🏛️ Senate Majority Whip & Friction Simulator

Model Republican conference unity, executive pressure, and Senate floor vote arithmetic under Majority Leader John Thune

53 GOP / 47 DEM Majority

Senate Chamber Floor Map (100 Seats)

GOP MAGA Core (28)
GOP Main Street (18)
GOP Swing Moderates (7)
Dem Conference (47)
Select any seat on floor map Click seat to toggle stance
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🎯 Key Pivot Senators & Crossover Risks

7 Swing Seats

⚡ Scenario Whip Tally Engine

Deterministic Floor Math
⚡ Presidential Loyalty Pressure (Trump) High (75%)
🛡️ Conference Whip Discipline (Thune) Medium (60%)
52
Ayes
51
Needed
48
Nays
✓ Motion Passes Simple Majority (52-48)
PASSED PROBABILITY
92.0%
VP TIEBREAKER NEEDED
No
Whip Summary Report

Passes simple majority with 2 GOP defections and VP tiebreaker; fails cloture threshold without crossover votes.

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