Senate Tossup Prediction Market Analyzer

Key Tossup Battlegrounds (6 Races) Adjust Win Odds

Safe & Likely Dem 45 + 3 Lean

Tossup Pool 6 Seats

Safe & Likely Rep 47 + 0 Lean

Montana (Tester vs. Sheehy) 1 Seat • High Stakes

DEM: 48% REP: 52%

Ohio (Brown vs. Moreno) 1 Seat • Tossup

DEM: 49% REP: 51%

Pennsylvania (Casey vs. McCormick) 1 Seat • Key Battleground

DEM: 53% REP: 47%

Nevada (Rosen vs. Brown) 1 Seat • Competitive

DEM: 52% REP: 48%

Arizona (Gallego vs. Lake) 1 Seat • Open Seat

DEM: 54% REP: 46%

Wisconsin (Baldwin vs. Hovde) 1 Seat • Critical Tossup

DEM: 53% REP: 47%

Market Sentiment Callout

Slight Democratic Edge

DEMOCRATIC MAJORITY ODDS

58.4%

Expected Seats: 50.9

REPUBLICAN MAJORITY ODDS

41.6%

Expected Seats: 49.1

Monte Carlo Seat Distribution (10,000 Iterations)

50+ Seats = Control

Battleground State	Seats	Dem Odds	Rep Odds	Market Implied Favored