Diamond & Game State
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Top 8th, 1 Out, Runner on 3B. Batting team leads by +1.
Live Sabermetric Probabilities
74.2%
Batting Win Expectancy (WE)
2.15
Leverage Index (LI)
0.95
Run Expectancy (RE24)
Showcase Win Probability Trajectory
24-State Base-Out Matrix (RE24)
| Base State | 0 Outs | 1 Out | 2 Outs |
|---|
Values represent expected rest-of-inning runs scored in MLB baseline environment.
Baserunning Risk-Reward Evaluator
Break-Even Steal Calculation:
Required success rate: 68.4%
Comparing Run Expectancy gained on successful advance vs. RE lost if caught stealing.
Passed Ball / Wild Pitch Value:
+0.65 Runs Expectancy Delta