Define a small finished state
Write what someone can use after the first version: a working feature, a resource, a prototype or an event. A feature list is not a finished state. Keep the outcome specific enough to evaluate with someone other than yourself.
Estimate deliverables separately
Break the work into things you can describe and inspect. Include research, testing, feedback and delivery, not just making. If an estimate is uncertain, record what you need to learn before relying on it.
Cut scope deliberately
Optional means the first version can still deliver its promised outcome without that item. If you exclude an essential deliverable, the planner calls it out so you can reconsider the outcome or its definition. It does not make the decision for you.
Read the capacity math
Window capacity = weekly hours × planning weeks. Selected effort is the sum of included deliverable estimates. Capacity remaining = capacity − selected effort. Estimated planning weeks = selected effort ÷ weekly hours, rounded up to a whole week for the boundary date. A negative remainder indicates an estimate that exceeds this window; it is not a prediction of failure.