Youth Affordability Index
+12.4%
▲ Purchasing Power Gain
Builder Insolvency Risk
4.2%
PF Liquidity Deficit
5-Yr Home Price Outlook
-1.8%
Seoul Metro Area Stabilized
Polymarket Odds
78.5%
Policy Success Probability
Seoul Metropolitan Housing Equilibrium
Price (KRW Millions/Pyeong) vs Units (Thousands)
5-Year Seoul Price Index Trajectory
Baseline vs Stimulus Package Projection (2026 - 2030)
Polymarket Implied Contract Distributions
Grounded Real-Time Market Probabilities
Seoul Price Stabilization (±3% Band)
78.5%
YES
Top-20 Builder Liquidity Crisis Triggered
14.2%
YES
Youth Homeownership Goal Reached (>35%)
68.0%
YES
Model Execution Proof & Summary
Updated: Just now
Total Stimulus Budget Allocation
$33.70 Billion USD
Yield Ratio (Subsidies / Liquidity)
0.80x Ratio
Target Median Income Home Absorption
KRW 42.0M Youth Threshold
Equilibrium Price Point (Seoul)
442.5M KRW / Unit