NFL W1

Sportsbook Bankroll & Variance Terminal

Context: @br_betting: "Checking my sportsbook balances after getting destroyed in Week 1"
Starting Bankroll
$1,000.00
Initial risk allocation
Total Staked
1000
10 wagers placed
Net Loss
727.27
Cumulative drawdown
Ending Balance
272.73
Current active funds
ROI Percentage
-72.73
Week 1 yield
Wager Controls
$1,000
10
8
$100
-110
Variance Classification
High Volatility / Severe Drawdown
High Volatility / Severe Drawdown
Bankroll Trajectory vs. Expected Value Real-Time Trajectory

Week 1 Sequential Wager Ledger

# Odds Stake Result Profit/Loss Running Balance

Bankroll Reconstruction Plan (Post-Week 1)

Fractional Kelly Recommendation

Optimal stake to prevent ruin based on current remaining funds.

$6.82 (2.5%)

Estimated Recovery Wagers

Standard bets required at 55% win rate to recover initial bankroll.

80 bets

Risk of Complete Ruin

Probability of balance dropping below $50 at current stake size.

84.2%
Enjoy this tool? Build your own with Super