Probability Density & Fair Value Overlay
■ Prediction Market Odds |
▲ Macro Target Peak
Interactive Model Note: Drag probability sliders on the right or apply scenario presets. Probabilities automatically re-normalize to 100%. The blue target line represents your configured macro EPS × P/E aggregate valuation.
Bracket Probability Weights
Macro Valuation Engine
2026 Aggregate EPS Target ($)
$280
Forward P/E Multiple
22.0x
Derived Index Fair Value:
6,160.00
Positioning & Misalignment Analysis
Cross-Asset Divergence Diagnostic
Macro Target Bracket:
6000 - 6499
Prediction market odds imply a 28.0% probability on the macro fair value bracket (6000-6499). The overall market distribution expects a mean close of 5,912, reflecting a 4.19% discount relative to fundamental EPS/PE guidance.