Startup Idea Falsifier

The Missing Part Stress-Test • Based on Aaron Dinin's Entrepreneurship Framework

Test Case Preset:

Retired Executive Vertical AI Compliance

Target: Mid-market legacy enterprise compliance directors
1. Customer Acquisition Friction 82/100 (Severe)
How hard is it to find, contact, and earn a pilot without relying indefinitely on non-scalable personal favors?
2. Buyer Urgency (Pain Intensity) 28/100 (Apathetic)
Is this solving an active bleeding-neck problem, or is it a 'nice-to-have' AI enhancement that gets tabled for next quarter?
3. Switching Cost & Inertia 78/100 (Entrenched)
Cost of displacing existing spreadsheets, legacy vendors, retraining staff, and clearing compliance reviews.
4. Unit Margin Reality (Gross Margin) 35% (Strained)
True gross margin after factoring ongoing model API inference tokens, data maintenance, and mandatory onboarding labor.
5. Distribution Moat (Sustainable Channel) 24/100 (Fragile)
Do you have a repeatable programmatic distribution advantage once the initial 5 friendly courtesy calls run out?

Operational Reality Radar

Pitch Polish vs. Day-to-Day Truth
ACQ EASE URGENCY EASY SWITCH MARGIN MOAT
Pipeline Reality (From 100 Initial Targets):
Initial Receptive Pitch
100
Urgent Priority Match
35
Clears Switching Friction
12
Profitable Closed Accounts
4
Viability Reality Index 27/100

High risk of "Courtesy Call Mirage": Initial advisory contacts will take meetings out of respect, but lack immediate budget authority or urgency to navigate brutal switching friction.

Pre-Code Falsification Probes

Concrete discovery questions to expose the fatal assumptions before writing software

Customer Discovery & Viability Audit Preview

Auto-generated validation blueprint

    
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