POSTMORTEM ENGINE

Startup Failure Archetype Matrix

RUNWAY HORIZON 7.4 Mos
NET BURN DECAY -$42.8k/mo
MOM RETENTION (M12) 5.1%
FATAL STALL RISK CRITICAL
FATAL DEATH SPIRAL: CAC exceeds gross margin lifetime value under continuous merchant turnover.
Baseline Failure Model Engineered Pivot Model
Causal Breakdown: Coupon & Daily Deals TRAPDOOR

Aggregating one-time coupons creates a commoditized race to the bottom where merchants experience customer cannibalization without loyalty.

Engineered Pivot: Vertical B2B Retention SaaS
DEFENSIBLE

Transition away from consumer bargain hunters to vertical merchant software providing dynamic yield management and private repeat-visit loyalty incentives.

Metric Vector Flawed Archetype Engineered Pivot
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