Worked 180-day path
Run the sample to hydrate the exact equation.
Stress the lock. Not the headline.
Convert the supplied event APYs into actual lock-period returns, then see how much end-price decline each term can absorb.
Model one honest assumption
Local math. No live feed.
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Term to inspect
How many terms preserve entry value?
Bundled sample ready: $5,000 entry value and a -25% end-price assumption.
SUPPLIED-POST SNAPSHOTCommit a prediction, then model all three advertised lock terms.
STELLAR LOCKUP STRESS TEST / SCENARIO MODELED
2 OF 3 TERMS PRESERVE ENTRY VALUE
2TERMS
The threshold is separate from the yield.
Posted leader balance$13,751.00
Model a scenario to compare the entered stake.
Top 10 boundary> $4,217.00
The source says more than, not equal to.
Top 100 boundary> $222.00
The source says more than, not equal to.
SUPPLIED-POST SNAPSHOT / NO LIVE ELIGIBILITY CHECK
One equation. Two very different outcomes.
Positive APY, negative result
The same price assumption can overpower a shorter term's modeled yield.
TERM RETURN
APY is annual. The lock-period return must be calculated before it can be compared.
Keep the evidence. Drop the certainty.
Effective-APY interpretation
The term factor is (1 + APY) raised to days / 365. Platform compounding or payout mechanics may differ, so the formula and assumption travel with the result.
Every term stays inspectable
The analysis preserves annual rate, year fraction, gross factor, term return, gross end value, stressed value, net change, and break-even decline before export.
No fabricated live layer
No current rank, token price, prize value, eligibility, tax outcome, liquidity, custody, or contract-safety claim is inferred from the supplied promotional snapshot.