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Stocktwits Retail Sentiment & Price Lead-Lag Simulator

MODELING SOCIAL MOMENTUM SIGNALS PRIOR TO BREAKOUTS
Verified Post: $RBLX (+41% Sentiment → +11% Price)
Signal Parameters LIVE CALIBRATION
Select Historical Sentiment Scenario:
Retail Sentiment Jump (Δ%) +41%
Social Message Volume 7,600
Bullish / Bearish Ratio 82% Bullish
Observed Lead Time (Hours) 14h Lead
Lead-Lag Dynamic: Retail sentiment on Stocktwits accelerated +41% leading into today's session across 7.6K posts. Price reaction followed with a +11.0% breakout after an estimated 14h gestation window.
Source Observation: Stocktwits (@Stocktwits): "Stocktwits users were getting bullish on $RBLX before the move. Retail sentiment jumped 41% leading into today. $RBLX is now up 11%. The sentiment moved first." (7.6K volume, 14h lead time).
Dual-Axis Lead-Lag Execution Validated Lead-Lag Signal
Sentiment Surge
+41%
Simulated Price Impact
+11%
Lead Time Detected
14h before breakout
Signal Confidence
High (Stocktwits Retail Momentum Index)
Stocktwits Sentiment Score (Leading)
Equity Price Reaction % (Lagging)
Message Volume Velocity
Breakout Point: T - 0h
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