```html Strait of Hormuz Blockade & Global Oil Deficit Simulator

Strait of Hormuz Blockade & Global Oil Deficit Simulator

Disruption & Mitigation Parameters

0%

Fraction of Hormuz shipping lanes obstructed by missile batteries or naval patrols.

Low

Deterrent effect driving insurance premiums and tanker owner refusal rates.

0%

Military escort capability counteracting interdiction and restoring safe transit.

1.5 Mbd

Saudi East-West Petroline (5.0 Mbd) & Abu Dhabi Crude Oil Pipeline (1.5 Mbd).

0.0 Mbd

Emergency emergency emergency reserve discharge rate to offset market deficit.

30 Days

Modeled duration of active blockade before geopolitical resolution or de-escalation.

Live Tactical Corridor Visualization

LOC: 26.56° N, 56.25° E | TSS SHIPPING LANES
ACTIVE TRAFFIC: 42 VLCCs
RISK LEVEL: NORMAL
Interdiction Sector Escort Corridor
Hormuz Flow
20.8 Mbd
Normal: 20.8 Mbd
Net Crude Deficit
0.0 Mbd
After Pipeline & SPR
Est. Brent Impact
$78 /bbl
+$0 (Baseline)
Cumulative Deficit
0 Mb
Over 30 Days

Strategic Impact Analysis Summary

MARKET BALANCED

FLOW DISRUPTION: 0.0 Mbd lost at Strait passage due to naval interdiction and mine hazards.

REROUTING OFFSET: 1.5 Mbd active bypass via Fujairah and Yanbu terminals.

RESERVE BUFFER: 0.0 Mbd released from global Strategic Petroleum Reserves.

GLOBAL SUPPLY SHORTFALL: 0.0 Mbd net daily market deficit.

PRICE ELASTICITY MODEL: Projected Brent spike to $78.00/bbl.

COMMODITY EXPOSURE: Normal maritime logistics flow. No immediate supply shock.

Hormuz Blockade Simulator • Model Ref: Reuters US-Iran Blockade Analysis