DoD CDE CJCSI 3160.01

Investigative Strike Geometry & Blast Radii Workbench

Grounded in The Washington Post reporting: Pentagon inquiry into Iranian wedding home strike
Tactical Deviation Telemetry
TARGET MISS DIST 75.0 m
CIVILIAN OFFSET 0.0 m
OVERPRESSURE 8.7 psi
FATAL FRAGMENT LETHAL
12.0+ psi (Total Crater / Complete Demolition)
5.0 psi (Heavy Structural Wall/Roof Collapse)
1.0 psi (Window Glass Hazard & Secondary Shrapnel)
Max High-Velocity Fragment Envelope
INVESTIGATION RECORD VERIFIED SOURCE
The Washington Post: "The Pentagon is investigating the high likelihood that an explosion in Iran that destroyed a home hosting a wedding was caused by a U.S. bomb missing a nearby target... killing at least four civilians."
MUNITION SYSTEM & BALLISTICS
Circular Error Probable (CEP) 13 m (GPS degraded)
2m (Precision Laser) 13m (GPS/INS Nominal) 100m (Spoofed/Electronic Jamming)
Simulated Impact Miss Distance 75.0 m
BLAST WAVE PROPAGATION Hopkinson-Cranz Z=R/W^(1/3)
Overpressure Threshold Radius (m) Structural Physical Consequence
CDE TIER 5: CRITICAL COLLATERAL VIOLATION
Impact at 75m strikes direct unreinforced residential masonry holding wedding attendees. 8.7 psi blast wave exceeds the 5.0 psi multi-story structural collapse threshold. Fatalities predicted and verified.
PROBABLE FAILURE CAUSAL MECHANISMS