Super Bowl Loser Week 1 ATS Trends Explorer
Analyzing the notorious "Super Bowl Hangover": runner-ups are 6-20 ATS (23.1% cover rate) in Week 1 since the 2000 season. Test current lines, filter splits, and inspect historical margins against point spreads.
Overall Week 1 ATS Record
6-20
26 games since 2000
Historical Cover Rate
23.1%
-14.5 Units ($100 bettor ROI)
Road Underdog ATS Split
2-7 (22.2%)
Patriots +3.5 context
Avg Margin vs Spread
-4.6 pts
Consistently underperforming line
⚡ Matchup Spread Simulator
Dynamic Engine
Quick Presets:
+3.5
Historical Context Match: Road Underdogs (+0.5 to +7)
High Fade Warning
Sample Size
9 games
ATS Record
2-7 ATS
Cover Pct
22.2%
Historically, Super Bowl losers playing on the road as underdogs in Week 1 fail to cover 77.8% of the time, dropping an average of -5.1 points against the spread.
📊 ATS Outcome Distribution
Full 2000–2025 Era
Total Non-Covers (Lost ATS):
20 (76.9%)
Total Covers (Won ATS):
6 (23.1%)
Net ATS Unit Differential:
-14.5 Units
| Season | Super Bowl Loser | Week 1 Opponent | Location | Closing Line | Final Score | ATS Margin | ATS Result |
|---|