Deal Parameters & Inputs
HKD Denominated
$0.884
$0.850
$0.650
6.0 Mos
85%
4.5%
1.0%
Macro & Deal Stress Presets
Annualized Return vs Completion Probability Curve
Current Operating Point: 85% / 7.21%
Sensitivity Matrix: Probability (%) vs Downside Price (HKD)
Expected Return Grid (%)
Deal Structure Breakdown & Risk Allocation
Implied Imbalance
Pre-Announcement Baseline Surge
+36.00%
Implied Market Probability of Deal Close
85.4%
Probability Bar (Success vs Break Risk)
85% / 15%