Supply Chain & Equity Research Audit

Retail Tariff Refund & Earnings Impact Model

Decoupling Abercrombie & Fitch's $100M Section 301 duty drawback recovery from structural merchandise margins and EPS quality.

Financial Levers

China (Sec 301 Target) 35%
Vietnam & SE Asia 40%
South Asia / India 15%
Americas / Nearshore 10%

Reported vs. Normalized Financial Telemetry

Unadj. Gross Margin
62.08%
Core merchandise only
Adjusted Gross Margin
70.89%
With $100M duty credit
Norm. Operating Margin
16.23%
Ex-customs windfall
Reported Op. Margin
25.04%
+8.81% non-recurring boost
EPS Boost / Share
$1.46
Net of 25% tax rate
Line Item ($M) Normalized (Core) Windfall Impact Reported (As Stated)
Net Sales $1,134.0M $1,134.0M
Merchandise COGS ($430.0M) +$100.0M ($330.0M)
Gross Profit (Margin %) $704.0M (62.08%) +$100.0M $804.0M (70.89%)
Operating Expenses (SG&A) ($520.0M) ($520.0M)
Operating Income (EBIT) $184.0M (16.23%) +$100.0M $284.0M (25.04%)
Taxes Provision ($46.0M) ($25.0M) ($71.0M)
Net Income $138.0M +$75.0M $213.0M
Diluted EPS $2.70 +$1.46 $4.16
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