150 Years of Tech Waves

Economist Analysis

11 Technological Waves Timeline (1870–2026)

Select or scrub a wave to inspect concentration trajectories, adoption velocities, and market power moats

Top-1 Market Share (%)
HHI Concentration Index (0–10,000)
Years to 50% Consumer Adoption
Simulated Top-1 Share
72.4%
Historical Peak
HHI Concentration
5,800
High Monopoly Threshold
Adoption Speed (50%)
4.2 yrs
Hyper-velocity Wave
Historical Analog
Standard Oil (1890)
Peak Capital Moat

Titan Comparison Matrix

Compare historical industrial magnates with modern AI magnates across capital intensity & regulatory lag

John D. Rockefeller Automotive / Oil (1890s)

Controlled 90% of US oil refining through infrastructure integration (pipelines/refineries). Faced major regulatory dissolution (Sherman Act 1911).

11 Technological Waves Comparative Evidence

Comprehensive data breakdown supporting market concentration calculations

Wave Era Era / Timeline Dominant Titan Capital Intensity Network Effect Top-1 Share HHI Index Adoption 50%
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