150 Years of Technology Waves (1870–2026)

US Tech Waves & Titan Concentration Analyzer

Bass Adoption Diffusion S-Curves
% Adoption from Inflection Year (t = 0 to 20)
Market Concentration Trajectory (HHI)
Herfindahl-Hirschman Index across Inflection Years
AI Wave Projection Scenario
Capital Intensity Multiplier 1.40x
Higher GPU/Infrastructure cost concentrates market
Diffusion Speed (Years to 50%) 8 yrs
Speed of enterprise & consumer adoption
Regulatory Friction Score 0.35
Antitrust & compliance drag on concentration
Select Tech Waves (11 Era Comparison)
Calculated Historical Match & Macro Indicators
Historical Closest Match electricity_1910 Closest trajectory in concentration & GDP impact
AI Peak Projected HHI 3450 Herfindahl-Hirschman Index benchmark
AI Top 3 GDP Share % 2.6% Projected titan revenue as % of US GDP
Active Comparison Waves 4 / 11 Selected eras in active simulation
Historical Waves Comparison Summary
Status Wave Era Inflection Peak HHI Top 3 GDP Share Primary Magnates Diffusion Speed
Enjoy this tool? Build your own with Super