DETROIT LIONS
Rush YDS/G: 135.4 | RZ Share: 68.5%
Jahmyr Gibbs / David Montgomery
BUFFALO BILLS
Rush YDS/G: 128.9 | RZ Share: 62.0%
James Cook
Source post: "Two of the top RBs in the game face off on TNF 🤩 DETvsBUF -- Thursday at 8:15pm ET on Prime Video Stream on @NFLPlus"
Situational Game Script Simulation
Neutral Script (DET 0, BUF 0)
Matchup Verdict: DET holds a +3.4% advantage in red-zone opportunity share entering Thursday Night Football.
DET Advantage Index
52.4%
Overall composite
BUF Advantage Index
47.6%
Overall composite
Combined Proj Touches
38.5
Under neutral script
Efficiency Radar Comparison
Indexed (100 = Matchup Baseline)
Projected Opportunity & Touch Volume
Carries + Targets
Verified Tailback Matchup Matrix
Official Metrics
| Metric | Detroit Lions (Gibbs / Mont.) | Buffalo Bills (James Cook) | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing Yards / Game | 135.4 yds | 128.9 yds | +6.5 yds (DET) |
| Yards After Contact (avg) | 3.4 yds | 3.1 yds | +0.3 yds (DET) |
| Explosive Run Rate (>10 yds) | 14.2% | 13.8% | +0.4% (DET) |
| Red-Zone Touch Share | 68.5% | 62.0% | +6.5% (DET) |
| 3rd Down Conversion Rec % | 18.2% | 16.5% | +1.7% (DET) |