MLB Statcast Lab

Kyle Tucker Dodgers Solo HR Ballistics & Leverage Impact

Interactive spray chart, trajectory physics & win probability shift analysis
Dodger Stadium 2D Spray Chart & Trajectory
Hit Coordinates: 38° (RF Pull)
Outcome: HOME RUN
Park Clearance: 29 / 30 MLB Parks
Projected Distance
408 FT
Trajectory Apex
89 FT
Hang Time
5.1 SEC
WPA Leverage Gain
+13.4%
Launch Ballistics & Game State
Exit Velocity (EV) 104.5 mph
Launch Angle (LA) 28°
Horizontal Spray Bearing 38° (Right Field)
Comparison Ballpark Fence Overlay
Dodgers Win Expectancy (WE) +13.4% WE
Pre-Homer
74.8%
Post-Homer
88.2%
Kyle Tucker Dodgers Impact Analysis Breakdown
1. Sweet Spot Barrel Launch
Tucker connected on an ideal 28° launch angle with 104.5 mph exit velocity to right field. This combination yields an estimated 408 ft carry, clearing the Dodger Stadium right field pavilion wall with ease.
2. High-Leverage Insurance Run
With the Dodgers holding a slim 1-run lead in the 7th inning (1 out), a solo shot creates a critical 2-run buffer, suppressing opponent late-inning comeback probability and driving Win Expectancy from 74.8% to 88.2%.
3. Universal Park Power
At 408 feet and 38° spray angle, Tucker's drive is a home run in 29 out of 30 MLB stadiums, only potentially held inside deep cavernous dimensions with 20+ ft walls like Oracle Park's right-center alley.
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