FLIGHT STATUS: PROJECTED HOME RUN
WALL CLEARANCE: +20 ft Over Pavilion
Projected Distance (m)
126.5
415 feet · Cleared Fence
Launch Classification
Optimal barrel contact
Statcast Barrel Zone
Win Expectancy Swing
+14.2%
Dodgers 50.0% → 64.2%
Run Value Added (RE24)
1.84
First Score Momentum Delta
Kyle Tucker · Slugging Profile 2024-2026 STATCAST
Metric Category Observed Value MLB Percentile
Barrel % Rate 13.8% 91st
Hard-Hit Rate (>95 mph) 46.5% 84th
xSLG (Expected Slugging) .548 94th
Sweet Spot % (8-32°) 38.2% 87th
Fastball HR Distance Avg 411 ft 89th
Dodgers 1st Inning Win Probability MARKOV GAME-STATE
Game Situation Expected Runs Dodgers Win %
Pre-Blast: Top 1st, 0 Out, Clean 0.481 50.0%
Tucker Blast: 1-0 Lead Recorded 1.481 (+1.00) 64.2% (+14.2%)
Historical 1st Inning Lead Record LAD Win Rate 74.6% (Full 9-Inn)
Leverage Index (LI) at Plate 1.00 (Neutral) Base State 0-0
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