⚾ Visual Diamond Replay
p5.js Field Simulation & Runner Dynamics
Inning 1: Game Underway
Both starters exchange clean frames. Initial baseline win probability set to 50.0%.
Score: MIN 0 - 0 OPP
Outs: 0
Leverage Index: 1.0
📈 Win Probability & Leverage Scrub Timeline
D3 Momentum Progression (50% Baseline)
🔬 Counterfactual Rally Workbench
Test how momentum swings if the 7th-Inning rally was altered
Simulated Win Probability Delta
7th Inning Explosion preserves 11-6 lead
+54.0%
📋 Source Fact vs Model Projection Evidence Ledger
Ground truth verification from @MLB source captured post
| Data Dimension | Type | Value / Status | Source / Derivation Basis |
|---|---|---|---|
| Final Score | Captured Fact | Minnesota Twins 11, Opponent 6 | @MLB Post: "Minnesota Twins 11 6" |
| Series Outcome | Captured Fact | Series Salvage Victory | @MLB Post: "come back to salvage the final game of the series!" |
| Win Probability Trajectory | Derived Model | 18.0% (Inning 3) → 96.0% (Inning 7) | Historical MLB Base-Out Leverage State Engine |
| Key Rally Vector | Derived Model | Bottom 7th: 5-Run Explosion | p5.js Spray Chart Trajectory Mapping |
🏆 Pivotal Comeback Turning Point Summary
Exportable game summary card & analytics snapshot
MINNESOTA TWINS 11-6 COMEBACK ANALYSIS
@MLB Verified Series Salvage Game
FINAL: MIN 11 - 6 OPP
96.0%
Peak Win Prob (7th)
18.0%
Low Point (3rd)
+78.0%
Comeback Swing
8 Runs
Late-Inning Explosion
Turning Point Insight: Trailing 4-0 early with only a 18.0% win probability, the Twins initiated a 3-run rally in the 5th inning before overwhelming the opponent with a 5-run explosion in the 7th, shifting overall game leverage by +78.0% to salvage the series final game.