Simulation Parameters
Interactive Modeler
Direct Canceled Flights
298
Reported benchmark: ~300 grounding events
Average Passengers / Flight
165
Standard narrow-body intra-Europe load factor
ATC Recovery Window (Hours)
18
Duration before network rotations resynchronize
Hourly Cost / Passenger ($)
45
Accommodation, crew duty extensions, EU261/UK261 care
Operational Forecast
Controlled Cascade - Normal operations estimated within 18 hours
Cascading Delayed Flights
894
Rolling downstream rotations (3.0x factor)
Affected Passengers
49,170
Direct strandings + secondary gate delays
Estimated Economic Cost
$3,982,770
Carrier duty & disruption liability
Live Airspace Node Propagation (Heathrow, Gatwick, Manchester, Stansted Hubs)
Disruption Stage Breakdown
Major Hub Estimated Dispersion
Proportional Allocation
| Airport / Airspace Zone | Primary Cancelations | Secondary Delays | Impacted Passengers | Estimated Disruption |
|---|