Simulation Controls
Real-time
Simulated Diesel Price
$6.80 / gal
$6.30 (All-time high)
$7.20 (Kalshi)
$8.00
Simulated Gas Price
$4.65 / gal
$4.36 (Current)
$5.00
$6.00
Commercial Fleet Baseline
Fleet Size (Class 8 Trucks)
25
1 truck
25 units
100 units
Monthly Miles Per Truck
10,000 mi
2,000 mi
10,000 mi
15,000 mi
Fleet Fuel Economy
6.5 MPG
5.0 MPG
6.5 MPG
8.5 MPG
Source Grounding: Baseline figures sourced from
BNO News (@BNONews):
Average U.S. diesel hits record $6.30/gal, gas at $4.36/gal, with @Kalshi pricing diesel to hit $7.20.
Logistics Economic Impact Container
Model Active
Diesel Delta Over Peak
+$0.50
Baseline record $6.30 / gal
Kalshi Target Implied Prob
68%
Market odds for $7.20 diesel this year
Projected Monthly Fuel Cost
$26153.85
Per primary baseline benchmark route
Annual Fleet Fuel Increase
$150000.0
Operational surplus cost for active fleet
Freight Fuel Surcharge
7.69%
Required linehaul surcharge adjustment
Gasoline Delta
+$0.29
Baseline $4.36 / gal
KALSHI PREDICTION CONTRACT
Will U.S. Diesel reach $7.20 in 2026?
Contract settlement based on EIA national weekly retail highway diesel average.
68%
Status: Trading
Volume: High
Fuel Escalation & Kalshi Target Horizon
Diesel ($/gal)
Gasoline ($/gal)
Kalshi $7.20 Target