US Q2 GDP Growth Breakdown & Scenario Simulator

Macro Counterfactual Presets

Component Attributions (pp)

1. PCE (Consumer Spending) +1.10 pp

Services & Goods~68% of GDP

2. Gross Private Investment +0.30 pp

Fixed Cap & Inventories~17.5% of GDP

3. Government Consumption +0.40 pp

Federal, State & Local~17.5% of GDP

4. Net Exports (Trade Balance) -0.30 pp

Exports minus ImportsTrade Drag/Surplus

BEA Contribution Methodology:
Headline GDP Growth ($\Delta Y$) = $C + I + G + (X - M)$.
PDFP = Consumer Spending + Private Fixed Investment.

Headline GDP (Ann.)

1.50%

Baseline Official

Final Domestic Demand

1.40%

PCE + Private Investment

Domestic Final Sales

1.80%

Excludes Foreign Trade Drag

Economy Status

Moderate Growth

Near Trend (1.8%)

NIPA Expenditure Attribution Waterfall Annualized Percentage Point Impact

Positive Contribution

Subtractive Drag

Net Headline GDP

Expenditure Pillar	Share of GDP	Baseline pp	Simulated pp	Delta