Elevation Trajectory Profile (Altitude vs Distance)
Exit Velocity
Statcast initial speed
112.5 mph
Launch Angle
Vertical elevation off bat
34.0°
Spray Angle
Pull (LF: -45°) to Oppo (+45°)
-24° (Pull LF)
Backspin Rate
Magnus effect lift generator
2450 rpm
Wind Vector
Headwind (-) / Tailwind (+)
0 mph
Target Ballpark Dimension
Rogers Centre
Rogers Centre Fence Geometry:
• Left Pole: 328 ft (10 ft wall)
• Left-Center Power Alley: 375 ft (10 ft wall)
• Dead Center: 400 ft (8 ft wall)
• Right-Center: 375 ft | Right Pole: 328 ft
• Left Pole: 328 ft (10 ft wall)
• Left-Center Power Alley: 375 ft (10 ft wall)
• Dead Center: 400 ft (8 ft wall)
• Right-Center: 375 ft | Right Pole: 328 ft
Early Surge Leverage Matrix
6 RUNS / INN 1-2
Quantifying win probability added (WPA) and run expectancy (RE24) during Toronto's first two innings barrage:
1st Inning
Leadoff walk, RBI double, sac fly (3 runs built)
+24.5% WP
2nd Inning
Vlad Jr. 3-Run Moonshot (2 outs, runners on 1st & 2nd)
+2.14 RE
Total Surge
Blue Jays 6, Opponents 0 after 2 innings completed
91.8% WIN PROB
Statcast Telemetry Handoff: Export computed trajectory parameters, fence clearance vector, and Blue Jays scoring timeline.
Physical Aerodynamic Model Notes: Trajectory integration utilizes numerical ballistics accounting for atmospheric drag ($C_d \approx 0.32$), standard sea-level air density, and backspin-induced Magnus lift force ($C_L \propto \omega \times v$). When hit at 112.5 mph and 34° launch angle with 2,450 RPM backspin, Vlad Jr.'s blast maintains an unusually high flight ceiling (apex 128.4 ft), defying headwind drag to carry 438.2 feet into Rogers Centre's deep left-center bleachers, clearing the 10-foot boundary wall by 26.2 vertical feet.