VERIFIED HISTORIC COLLAPSE SABERMETRICS

Chicago White Sox 10-Inning Lead Analyzer

Deconstructing the historic 13-inning marathon analyzed by ESPN's Buster Olney

Buster Olney (@Buster_ESPN): "The Chicago White Sox held a lead within every inning from the third inning through the 12th on Thursday night -- 10 straight innings of leads. And lost in the 13th. What a win for the..."
10
Innings With Lead (3-12)
13
Total Innings Played
98.2%
Peak CWS Win Expectancy
< 0.01%
Historical Rarity Rank
Win Probability & Leverage Progression Inning 13 (Final)
Chicago Win Exp % Active Lead Stretch (Inn 3-12) Tying/Go-Ahead Event
Inning Scrub Control Frame: Top 13th | White Sox: Behind 7-8
WHITE SOX SCORE
7
OPPONENT SCORE
8
WIN EXPECTANCY (WE)
0.0%
LEVERAGE INDEX (LI)
4.82 (High)
Counterfactual Leverage Sim
Showing authentic 13-inning flow with verified 10 consecutive frames holding a lead.
Historic Blown-Lead Marathons
Game / Year Lead Inn Tot Peak WE
CWS (2026 Olney) 10 13 98.2%
BOS vs CLE (2001) 8 14 96.5%
SF vs LAD (2012) 7 12 97.8%
COL vs NYM (2018) 7 13 95.1%
Sabermetric Export Ledger
Verified Lead Sequence: Innings 3 through 12 (10 consecutive frames). Loss occurred in Bottom 13th.
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