Live Vote Projection
Projected Winner
Francesca Hong
Progressive
47.6%
547,300 votes
VS
David Crowley
Moderate
52.4%
602,700 votes
Crowley +55,400 (52.4% vs 47.6%)
Coalition Tension Index
Moderate Crossover Bias
Urban Progressive Mobilization
Suburban Moderate Crossover
Geographic Coalition Map
Click region to inspect
Hong Lead (>55%)
Hong Tilt (>50%)
Crowley Tilt (>50%)
Crowley Lead (>55%)
Scenario Data Summary
Status: Active
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Regional Coalition Controls
Turnout & Preference Sliders