Addis Recurring Billing Churn & Recovery Simulator

The saved calculator starts with a fixed subscriber cohort and two assumed renewal drop rates. At the default two hundred fifty subscribers and fifteen hundred Birr monthly fee, month one revenue is three hundred seventy five thousand Birr. Manual renewal uses a thirty two percent assumed drop, leaving one hundred seventy subscribers in month two. The automated scenario uses six percent, leaving two hundred thirty five. These bars use one point six pixels per subscriber: two hundred seventy two and three hundred seventy six pixels. Their sixty five subscriber difference times fifteen hundred gives ninety seven thousand five hundred Birr month two revenue difference. These are hypothetical scenario inputs, not measured Ethiopian churn or proof that automation produces the assumed improvement. From month three onward, the calculator multiplies the previous manual count by point nine six and automated count by point nine eight five, rounding to an integer at every month. At default month two values, month three manual count is round of one hundred sixty three point two, giving one hundred sixty three. Automated count is round of two hundred thirty one point four seven five, giving two hundred thirty one. Bars share one point six pixels per subscriber, widths two hundred sixty point eight and three hundred sixty nine point six. Revenue multiplies each rounded count by the fee. The twelve month totals sum those monthly revenues. This model has no new subscriber acquisition and no explicit fees, taxes, payment failures or changing renewal rates beyond the authored rules. The annual churn loss label is a separate shortcut, not the difference between the two twelve month cohort totals. It takes the original subscribers minus manual month two retained, multiplies by monthly fee, then by twelve. At default, eighty lost subscribers times fifteen hundred times twelve gives one million four hundred forty thousand Birr. The bars compare that shortcut using twelve months with a hypothetical eleven month multiplier: one million three hundred twenty thousand. At one display pixel per four thousand Birr, widths are three hundred sixty and three hundred thirty. The code uses twelve even though the drop happens in month two. Gateway and recovery text describe plans; this browser calculator does not execute payment webhooks or send messages. Export behavior and chart availability require independent checks; these outputs are assumptions rather than financial forecasts.