The Divergence Paradigm (2021–2026)
Index (Baseline 2021 = 100)
Combat fatalities plummet while household poverty expands and female civil liberties collapse.
Active Combat Casualties (Down 88%)
Population in Extreme Poverty (Up 70%)
Female Civil Liberty Access (Down 92%)
Tri-Pillar Status at Current Anchor
Physical Combat Security
Low Conflict
Nationwide combat clashes, airstrikes, and crossfire deaths drop by ~85–90% compared to the 2017–2021 war baseline.
Material & Household Welfare
84% Under Poverty
Loss of $8B+ annual donor funding, frozen central bank reserves, and banking restrictions cripple formal employment.
Gender Rights & Liberty
Severe Curtailment
Systemic institutional decrees ban girls from secondary & higher education, NGO employment, and solo long-distance travel.