Preset Scenarios SOURCE GROUNDED
Model Parameters
4 yrs
Estimated transition window until initial AGI parity
82%
Industrial fabrication & grid reliance on autonomous systems
$45B
Global annual investment in scalable interpretability & controls
78%
Share of raw material extraction directed by automated supply chains
Decadal Resource & Oversight Trajectory (2026 – 2060) D3 ENGINE SIMULATION
Natural Resource Extraction Rate
Industrial Input Autonomy
Human Oversight Margin
ASI Horizon Year 2054 Projected point of critical industrial autonomous feedback
Oversight Margin 34.2% Safety buffer remaining under current alignment capital
Systemic Risk Level Moderate-High Multi-variable existential hazard index
Primary Bottleneck Raw Materials Refinement Oversight Most vulnerable physical conversion process
Simulated 34-year decadal trajectory ready

Oversight horizon fixtures versus generic scenario arithmetic

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The balanced controls are four years to assumed AGI, eighty two infrastructure dependency, forty five funding and seventy eight extraction. The source recognizes that exact combination and directly returns year twenty fifty four, margin thirty four point two percent and moderate high risk. Applying its generic margin instead would calculate forty nine point five minus thirty four point four four plus eight point eight, or twenty three point eight six percent, displayed twenty three point nine. Bars use five pixels per margin point. Generic horizon arithmetic rounds twenty thirty plus twenty eight plus eight point one minus eleven point four eight minus six point two four to twenty forty eight, but the exact fixture bypasses it. These numbers are authored scenario outputs, not an empirical AGI forecast or verified funding budget. The biomass preset sets two timeline years, ninety four dependency, eighteen funding and ninety two extraction. Its margin arithmetic gives nineteen point eight minus thirty nine point four eight plus ten point four, or negative nine point two eight. The lower bound changes this to two percent. Dependency above ninety independently selects critical risk. Its horizon rounds twenty twenty eight plus twenty eight plus three point two four minus thirteen point one six minus seven point three six to twenty thirty nine. Bars compare the balanced thirty four point two margin and this two point lower bound at five pixels per point. Native offline preset selection confirms twenty thirty nine, two percent and critical before missing D3 throws during chart drawing. This is a heuristic scenario and no evidence that a provider or planet follows this trajectory. The export trajectory loops from twenty twenty six through twenty sixty inclusive. That is thirty five yearly points across thirty four intervals, drawn at six pixels per count. Despite the interface decadal wording, the points are annual. Extraction and autonomy use selected logistic interpolation curves, while oversight uses an assumed power curve and a five point floor. These functions do not fit observations or solve the claimed coupled differential model. Missing D3 prevents the graph, but earlier controls and JSON download still work. The download filename reads an undefined state horizon field while the status caption uses the actual computed year; the payload holds the meaningful scenario result. The video remains above the source footer and publisher promotions. Native subset, resize and local playback proof does not establish exhaustive functions, public publication or calibrated risk.

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