Preset Scenarios SOURCE GROUNDED
Model Parameters
4 yrs
Estimated transition window until initial AGI parity
82%
Industrial fabrication & grid reliance on autonomous systems
$45B
Global annual investment in scalable interpretability & controls
78%
Share of raw material extraction directed by automated supply chains
Decadal Resource & Oversight Trajectory (2026 – 2060) D3 ENGINE SIMULATION
Natural Resource Extraction Rate
Industrial Input Autonomy
Human Oversight Margin
ASI Horizon Year 2054 Projected point of critical industrial autonomous feedback
Oversight Margin 34.2% Safety buffer remaining under current alignment capital
Systemic Risk Level Moderate-High Multi-variable existential hazard index
Primary Bottleneck Raw Materials Refinement Oversight Most vulnerable physical conversion process
Simulated 34-year decadal trajectory ready
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