Airfare & Oil Price Impact Simulator

DISPATCH // CNBC REPORTED RYANAIR CEO AIRFARE UPLIFT WARNING
Preset:
Flight Deck Variables LIVE REACTIVE
$95/bbl
$60 Min $75 Base $160 Max
12 gal
6 (Ultra-Efficient) 12 (Short-Haul Budget) 24 (Long-Haul)
$150
$50 Budget $150 Std $400 Premium
Projected Ticket Fare
$174.00
Adjusted ticket price per pax
Airfare Uplift
+16.0%
Fuel cost pass-through delta
Demand Elasticity Impact
-4.8%
Booking volume drop-off
Projected Rev / Seat
$165.68
Net yields accounting for churn
Sensitivity Curve: Crude Price vs. Fare Uplift & Demand Erosion
Fare Uplift (%)
Demand Drop (%)
Operational Briefing // Carrier Route Advisory

At $95/bbl crude (+$20 over $75 baseline), fuel cost increases by $24.00 per passenger on a 12 gal/seat flight. Full pass-through causes a 16.0% ticket uplift to $174.00, triggering an estimated -4.8% passenger demand drop-off, yielding $165.68 per available seat.

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