Bab el-Mandeb Strait Maritime Flow & Shipping Bottleneck Simulator

Source: @DeItaone "WRIGHT: GETTING MORE FLOW THROUGH BAB EL-MANDEB STRAIT WOULD BE HELPFUL"

Tactical Dispatch & Flow Controls

RESTRICTED
55%
10% (Severely Impaired) 100% (Pre-crisis Max)
42 vessels
Coalition Security Convoys
Naval escorts active (reduces insurance & hesitation)
Choke Point Status
Restricted
Bab el-Mandeb (14 NM gap)
Crude Flow Throughput
3.4
Million Barrels / Day (mbd)
Avg Voyage Delay
11.5
Extra transit days
Extra Fuel Cost / Voyage
$680,000
USD Bunker differential
Simulator Active: Suez diversion forces ~3,500 NM Cape of Good Hope transit detour.
READY
Verified Research Benchmark: EIA, Lloyd's List Intelligence & UNCTAD (2024-2026). Pre-crisis flow averaged 8.7 mbd crude; restricted flows depressed volume under 4.0 mbd. Cape route adds 11-14 voyage days and $650k–$1.2M in roundtrip fuel costs.

Real-Time Global Shipping Lane Projection

Interactive choke-point simulation: Red Sea vs. Cape Diversion
Suez / Bab el-Mandeb (Direct)
Cape of Good Hope (+3,500 NM)

Comparative Economics: Suez Transit vs Cape Detour

Transit Time (days) & Comprehensive Voyage Cost per 15k TEU / VLCC vessel
Cape Reroute Share: 45%
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