Bab el-Mandeb Strait Transit Tracker

Target Week
Aug 10 - Aug 16
Simulated Transits
218 ships
Most Likely Bracket
201 - 250
Security Threat Level High (65%)
Cape Diversion Rate 42%
AIS Dark Traffic Est. +18 ships
Days Elapsed (Week of Aug 10) 7 days
Bab el-Mandeb Transit Prediction Model Output

Simulated Weekly Volume: 218 ships. Leading Market Range: 201 - 250 ships (42.0% Implied Prob).

Polymarket Bracket Probabilities Week of Aug 10
Market Depth & Volume Analysis 82,000 Shares
Bracket Shares Traded Ask Price Bid Price Implied Prob
Simulation Actions & Data Handoff
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