Toronto Blue Jays vs Tampa Bay Rays Game Audit

Run Support vs. Defensive Breakdown Counterfactual Analyzer

Presets:

Defensive Blunder Ledger 3 Runs Conceded

Toggle defensive miscues to simulate counterfactual routine outs and observe recalculated win equity.

Runs off Rasmussen (4.2 IP)

Runs off TB Bullpen

3.0

Net Defensive Run Cost

Win Probability & Run Flow TOR Win Equity: 0.0%

78.2%

MLB 6+ Run Win Rate

84.6%

Clean Defense Projection

-1

Run Differential

Game Audit Decomposition & Export Audited: Defensive breakdowns erased 6-run offensive surge

TOR 6 @ TB 7 (Actual Outcome)

5 runs scored off Drew Rasmussen, 1 off bullpen. 3 unearned/high-leverage runs conceded.

Source Grounding: Sportsnet (@Sportsnet / @ShiDavidi) reported: "Five runs off Drew Rasmussen, plus another off the bullpen, should be enough to beat the Rays more often than not. But the Blue Jays weren't able to come away victorious... as their defence faltered." Toronto scored 6 runs (5 off Rasmussen, 1 off TB bullpen) but fell 7-6 after a 9th-inning comeback came up short.