Simulated Brent Crude Benchmark
$104.50
/ bbl
▲ +$22.50 (+27.4%) vs Baseline
Macro Scenario Presets
Refinery Pass-Through Model: Uses historical refinery conversion spread ($0.024/gal per $1.00 crude movement above $82.00 baseline) and maritime bunker fuel index coupling.
Retail Gasoline Spike
+$0.54
Projected per gallon increase
Shipping Cost Index
+12.8%
Freight rate inflation
Aviation Margin Shock
-14.2%
Jet fuel operating contraction
Sector Vulnerability & Cost Compression Analysis
Real-Time Pass-Through
| Industry Sector | Cost / Margin Delta | Vulnerability | Primary Transmission Vector |
|---|
Key Maritime & Supply Chain Logistics Routes
Bunker Fuel Escalation
| Trade Route | Base TEU Rate | Estimated Surcharge | Status |
|---|