2D Policy Vector Compass
Drag Candidates
Euclidean Distance
0.11
3D Policy Vector
Alignment Index
89.0%
Similarity Score
Endorsement Boost
+6.0%
Probability Delta
Implied Odds
64.0%
El-Sayed Win
Healthcare Reform Alignment
0.85 vs 0.90
Labor & Wage Strategy
0.90 vs 0.95
Housing & Transit Reform
0.75 vs 0.80
Active Endorsement
Mamdani → El-Sayed Signal
Primary Odds & Payoff Curve
Polymarket Live Sim
Prediction Market Position Calculator
Orderbook Shares & Payout| Contract Side | Entry Cost | Current Market | Implied Value | Net Expected ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES Contract | $580.00 | $0.64 | $640.00 | +$60.00 (+10.3%) |
Evidence Brief: Abdul El-Sayed policy vector produces a 0.11 Euclidean distance relative to Zohran Mamdani. Endorsement proximity shift updates baseline primary odds from 58.0% to 64.0%, driving positive expected arbitrage yield on YES primary contracts.