Spatial Half-Court Possession Map
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Timeline Scrubber
5.0s
Defender Contest Dist
2.4 ft
Shot Action Type
Source Fact: Chelsea Gray hit a game-winning 3-pointer in OT to secure the road victory for the Las Vegas Aces against the Indiana Fever in Indianapolis. Spatial distance and defender contest parameters model real-time shot quality (qSQ) and Win Probability Added (WPA).
Clutch Shot Quality & WPA Matrix
Live Calculation Active
Expected Shot Quality (qSQ)
38.0%
Contested arc attempt (25.8 ft)
Win Probability Shift (WPA)
+48.2%
Aces win prob jumps to 99.8%
Shot Distance
25.8 ft
Deep OT 3-Point Line
Defender Distance
2.4 ft
Tight Contest
Chelsea Gray Career OT / Clutch Shot Benchmarks
| Scenario / Play | Distance | Def Dist | qSQ | Actual FG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current OT Shot Model | 25.8 ft | 2.4 ft | 38.0% | 48.2% (Clutch) |
| Career Final 30s 3PTs | 24.8 ft | 3.2 ft | 42.5% | 45.8% |
| OT Playoff Attempts | 25.1 ft | 2.8 ft | 39.1% | 50.0% |
| Uncontested Spot-Up 3s | 23.9 ft | 6.0+ ft | 56.2% | 52.4% |