Congressional Hurdle Controls
Live Calibration
Source Dispatch: "House Majority Whip Tom Emmer believes the CLARITY Act will still pass before the end of the year, despite Tuesday's Senate setback." (CoinDesk)
65%
Models Banking Committee holdouts and floor debate objections.
58%
Estimated cosponsors and cross-aisle crypto champions.
12 wks
Session weeks until final December congressional adjournment.
Legislative Scenario Presets
42%
Passage Likelihood
Before Dec 31 Adjournment
CLARITY Act Outlook Analysis Challenged but Viable
Primary Bottleneck
Senate Banking Committee Calendar
Projected Window
Late Q4 / Lame-Duck Session
Sponsor Alignment
Whip Emmer Active Whipping
Friction Index
Elevated (65/100)
Legislative Probability Curve through Year-End
Interactive Projection
Key Congressional Milestones Countdown
TARGET: DEC 31