🛠 Deal & Market Parameters
Market Price (Polymarket YES)
42.0¢ ($0.42)
CNN EBITDA ($ Millions)
$220M
EV / EBITDA Target Multiple
6.5x
Buyer Category
Regulatory Block Risk
35.0%
Deal Close Deadline
12 Months
💡 Valuation Realism Note
At 6.5x EBITDA ($220M), CNN implied value is $1.43B. Private Equity buyers carry lower antitrust friction but demand debt financing feasibility.
📈 Probability Sensitivity vs Multiple
📊 Simulated Order Book Depth
Spread: 1.0¢
⚡ Binary Contract Order Book Execution
Bid Size (Contracts)
Price (YES)
Price (YES)
Ask Size (Contracts)
🎯 Expected Value & Settlement Matrix (Refocused Proof)
MATCHED EDGE
| Outcome Horizon | Contract Settlement | Model Probability | Market Price | 100 Shares Payout | Expected ROI % |
|---|