Forward-curve instrument

Price the spread, not the story.

Load petroleum settlements, normalize gallons to barrels, and compute the 3-2-1 refining proxy at every tenor.

The bundled curve is synthetic and chosen to exercise the source's $0.75 scenario. It is not current market data, a price forecast, or investment advice.
Awaiting validated settlements.
spread = ((2 × RBOB × 42) + (ULSD × 42) − (3 × WTI)) ÷ 3
No curve evaluated yet.
Tenorsvalidated rows
RBOB drawdollars per gallon
Spread enddollars per barrel
Compressionfirst to last

Supplied curve, computed signal

RBOB uses the left axis; 3-2-1 spread uses the right axis.

Date
RBOB
WTI
ULSD
Spread

Curve is not prophecy.

A forward curve is the current term structure of contracts. It can reveal backwardation, contango, and relative product pressure, but it does not guarantee the future spot price.

In this sample, crude falls too. The spread still compresses because the barrel-equivalent value of gasoline and distillate falls faster than the three-barrel crude input.

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