Market Parameters
68¢ (68%)
Unit Economics
$37.50
12.8%
±30 M
Implied Financial Forecast
Density Curve
1B Order Barrier
Expected Order Volume
985 M
+17.26% YoY Growth
Implied Gross Order Value (GOV)
$36.94 B
Based on $37.50 AOV
Implied Net Revenue
$4.73 B
12.8% Take Rate
Target Breach Probability (>1B)
68.0%
Z-Score: +0.47 σ
Q3 Order Volume Probability Density Function (PDF)
Hover curve for details
Contract Price Sensitivity Analysis
| Scenario | Kalshi Price | Expected Orders | YoY Growth | Implied GOV | Implied Revenue |
|---|