Stanford Labor Polarization Study Benchmark

AI Entry-Level Labor Impact & Career Cohort Simulator

Baseline Contraction: -19.0% Young Employment
Junior Cohort (0-2y)
-19.0%
Mid-Tier Cohort (3-7y)
-4.2%
Senior Cohort (8+y)
+2.4%
Resilience Index
38.4
Cross-Cohort Employment Divergence Software Engineering & QA
Apprenticeship Rung Diagnostic: In high-exposure software roles, 45% of entry-level volume is routine synthesis easily subsumed by LLMs. Without intentional pairing, entry rungs collapse while senior review demands escalate.
Task Decomposition & Adaptation Sandbox
Routine Code & Synthesis (High AI Exposure) 45%
Verification, Debugging & Security Auditing 25%
Client Scoping & Human Collaboration 15%
System Architecture & Senior Review 15%
Organizational Interventions
Task Vulnerability: 68.5%
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